08/25/2005 - Shoot!

Well, --- I got out of Citigroup. I thought we were onto something here. The stock picked it head up last week and showed some strength. This week, not so. Looks like investors are not sure about the new leader at C. We all know how the Market hates uncertainty. True, change is sometimes good but on Wall Street, investors want to get a good idea about the direction a company will take. That is where we are now. I am not in the "hoping" business. I sold with a small loss and will go in again if things look better.

08/16/2005 - What I think now.

OK, DPZ is showing weakness. I sold my position. It may be basing but I have a 25% gain and will lock into that now.

MOT id showing weakness. I sold my position for a small gain. 22$ a share was a magic number for that company. The stock had a nice run up the prior weeks. Can't go like that forever.

C, I like this company and bought at $43.73. Stock is showing some good strength the past few days.

08/10/2005 - Citigroup and DPZ

C
Citigroup has hit a major support point. It will be interesting to see what happens here. If C goes any lower new support will be established. I would like to see the stock pick its head up and pop a few points. I am keeping an eye on this one.



DPZ

So what do you think will happen to DPZ? The stock had great earnings last qtr yet the Street did not reward it at all. I know, disappointing. I think the Street is waiting to see what mgmt has up its sleeve to keep earnings going. I know Bain Capital probably went in and has expanded the margins the best they could by tweaking the technology and maybe negotiating with suppliers. We have to see how DPZ comes up with new ideas to create more sales. Will they start serving breakfast in bed? Will they make hot dogs and cheese burgers? Beats me?

08/04/2005

08/03/2005 - You gotta love this Market!

The one thing that you can count on is that you can never figure out how the Market will react, at least I can't. What am I talking about? Lets talk about two live examples, DPZ and MOT.

DPZ came out with great earnings for the last qtr and what did the stock do? Went down. On the other hand, analysts are telling us that MOT is fairly valued at $21., yet the stock keeps going up.

You can't do anything about it but you have to be open minded to succeed in the Market.

From the Yahoo Message Board, a chap wrote:

They guided down on the full year. With the new regulations of FD (Full Disclosure), the Street reacts more to guidance then quarterly results. Prior to FD, the quarterly results drove price increases and guidance was the extra push, assuming that it was positive. If it was neutral, the Street knew that it would have access to feret out results during the active quarter. That's all changed now.

Makes sense to me. The company said they will have earnings of 13-15%. The PE is at 25. Could be price a little high. Lets see what happend tmwr!

08/02/2005 - DPZ

08/02/2005

You may remember my posting about DPZ in April. The stock has had a nice move up so far. It is up about 25% since I mentioned it. I think this stock is forming a base now. I do not want to make any quick moves but I am keeping and eye on DPZ. Is it basing or losing steam?

08/01/2005 - OTEX - strength?

08/01/2005

OTEX, stock is showing strength. Too early to tell how much strength there is though. Keeping an eye on this one though. Sell poiunt on this would be at about $11.65.

MOT seems to be doing OK after BOA's downgrade. The stock was up $.34 today. BOA really did not say anything. They must have had a deadline to publish a report and they could not come up with anything to say.

07/29/2005 - Did someone just flip the lights?

You know when you are at a bar and the manager flips the lights off and on to signal last call.?. I am wondering if Bank of America is pulling this event with MOT. Now, in the bar people do not all rush out the door. Some people stick around and finish their drinks. Still, others belly-up to the bar and order another drink.

I have never really witnessed and upgrade or downgrade affect a stock - long term. Plus, the big guys are buying MOT - they move the stock and they have their own analysts. So, the BOA downgrade may take a little wind out of its sails but I don't THINK it should destroy the beautiful uptrend that we are seeing.

I hope...

07/28/2005 - MOT - All aboard!

07/28/2005

I was looking at the chart of MOT last night and it caught my eye. Also, from all that I have been reading MOT is a Wall Street darling. The wagon is already moving but I think it may still have some momentum. I like that fact the MOT is developing new technologies that nobody really knows about. In other words, there is a pie in the sky mentality out there. So that should be worth a couple more layers of froth. All aboard!

07/27/2005 - A couple hits...

07/27/2005

Well, it is summer time in Boston and you know what that means. It's hot and humid and hazy. When that type of weather hits the town I like to escape to Cape Cod and take respite from the oppressive heat. I went down last night and tried a few casts behind Bassetts Island. Not much luck though, a couple hits. They looked like stripers. I was using surface lures and really going for Blue Fish. The tides was not with us either. Better luck next time.

07/24/2005 - I thought so...

So the SEC has halted the trading of CAFE. I am not really surprised. You read my post a week back? It just seems strange that CAFE could buy this company called GlobalNet that has this great technology that can save companies huge amounts of money on their electric bills. Why would GlobalNet sell out? We will see what happens on August 5th. Stay tuned.

07/21/2005 - AMAT and the others - where is the $$$?

7/21/2005 - AMAT

Every now and then I sit back and think about the days when one could make a killing in the semiconductor equipment sector. You would buy when earnings sucked and held until things just could get any better and your aunt was talking about how she just bought 75 shares of Applied Materials. Ah to be young again.

Well, I know I am not the only investor to feel this way. However, are the semi cap equip cos coming back to life or is this just another head fake? Too early to tell but I don't want to miss the ride. Wake me if I happen to fall asleep!

07/20/2005 - MSFT - Lessons Learned Good

MSFT 7/20/2005

I sold out of MSFT today. You may recall that I bought some the beginning of June. I marked the chart where I bought and sold.

My basic idea was to buy on the pull-back to the 13 week EMA. I did that OK. However, I bought when the momentum was still moving down. Big mistake. It all looks so clear today. Well, it was a lesson learned. So, buy when the weakness is over and strength is moving the stock up.

Out with a small profit. Still alive.

07/20/2005 - Ugly Americans

I just finished reading Ugly Americans last night. The book was an entertaining read, no doubt. I did feel duped though. If any of you have read Bringing Down the House, you would know whyI feel this way. Both books are written by the same author, Ben Mezrich. He basically took the same story from his first book and shifted it around a bit and came up with Ugly Americans. OK, it was entertaining, which was all I wanted. A good summer read nonetheless.

07/19/2005 - DIS is out

Well, DIS was sold this AM. The stock is showing more weakness and I can't afford to hold onto companies that could take years to come around. My strategy is to get in after weakness, ride strength and sell upon new weakness. So, that is what just happened. Small profit. Still alive.

07/18/2005 - BA is weak

BA 7/18/2005

Wow, it is July 18th already! Can you believe how fast the time goes by during the summer months? February in Boston can last about three months. July and August last about a week.

Looking at the BA chart and it does not look very strong. It is not a long and I would short it if I had more capital.

DIS showed another weak day. Lets see what happens tmrw. If there is more weakness we will have to dump this and regroup.

07/15/2005 - TGIF

The Market seems pretty happy about the news that has been released. DIS continued its move up today. I wish that HPQ came back a bit but I don't think it is going to happen.

CAFE moved up again! I still would not touch it with a ten foot cattle prod, plus buying a stock like this does not fit in my methodology.

So, we keep DIS until it tells us otherwise.

07/13/2005 - DIS

07/13/2005

DIS was ready to move up a bit. I liked the strength we saw today at the finish.

07/13/2005 - WOW look at CAFE!!!

HOST AMERICA CORP is going up up and away! As a greedy SOB I want to buy it but as a business man I have to stay away. There has to be some miscommunication here. You read about all these technologies in magazines yet this one seemed to have missed them. Something does not add up. Of course I would not be saying this if I bought at $3.

I did buy some DIS today at $25.51. Stock looks undervalued on technicals and the Company could be planning some strategical moves.

07/12/2005 - PEP revisited

7/12/2005

I was curious how some of my predictions have worked out. Here is one you may recall concerning PEP. This was a classic Bearish Divergence. The stock was moving higher but the MACD stalled out. You can see the correction that took place.