Friday, September 30, 2005

09/30/2005 - Dis looks good!


dis 9/30/05

I have been keeping and eye on the market - as usual, and I saw some stocks that looked pretty interesting. MSFT, INTC, RTN and DIS. DIS looked pretty attractive to me and I purchased some shares today at $24.13. I am hoping a trend is in place and that we can ride this all next week!

Thursday, September 22, 2005

09/22/2005 - Down Down Down

Looking at the charts of the Dow I see a lot of selling going on! I thought Wall Street expected the 25 basis pt rate hike. Maybe Mr. G is trying to nip this housing boom in the bud. True oil is at $67/barrel and we have another hurricane coming to the US.

I am still in oil but I have raised cash recently. Keeping an eye on stocks to REBOUND! They are still going down now!

Wednesday, September 21, 2005

09/21/2005 - sold C

I sold C today. I was caught between feelings of sell or hold. Unfortunately the market does not care if you are undecided or don't know what you are doing. It will slam you no matter what. On one hand Citi is trying to turn itself around. However, rates are rising, which is a negative for banks. I sold and took a small profit.

Tuesday, September 20, 2005

9/20/2005 - Wal-Mart


WMT 9/20/2005

This chart caught my eye. Too early to enter into a trade but it is beaten down and will most likely bounce back, unless mgmt is really sleeping. Lets wait for the knife to land before we grab it!

Monday, September 19, 2005

09/19/2005 - C


Citi 9/19/2005

This trade is working out OK. You may recall that I bought Citi a couple weeks back but sold out b/c it did not look like it was going to work out. Well, I bought it back and this time it worked. The one thing that I have learned is to cut losses and let profits ride. So, I will let C move up on its own until it tells me that it is tired and rolls over and goes back to bed.

Friday, September 09, 2005

09/09/2005 - This stock is a waste

of time. CAFE is down $0.93 this morning. Everyday there is a news blurb about this company. Today, the NASDAQ is going to delist the shares and warrants. Also, there is so much banter on the message board that my head is spinning. OK, here is probably what was going on with the recent increase in the stock price. The shorts knew that the stock was going to be delisted so they had to buy back shares to cover their positions. This action would drive the stock up. Just an idea.

Wednesday, September 07, 2005

09/07/2005 - CAFE - What?

I hate to say this but I bought some CAFE today. You know, that stock that went from $3 to $15 and then was halted for a couple weeks. It started trading and went down to $3 again. This AM is started to move again and it showed some strength! I did pick some up at $3.28 and SOLD at $3.70. It was actually a stupid move. Lucky to make money on that one.

Bought back into Citigroup again. I bought at $44.19. Stock is showing strength again. Hoping the Fed keeps rates the same and that the new CEO makes profitable changes. Lets see!?

What else happened?
oil (-$1.68 to $65.03/bbl)

With respect to individual equities, there were notable upgrades today for three Dow components that have lent a measure of support to the broader market... To that end, McDonald's (MCD 33.27 +0.61) went to Outperform from Peer Perform at Bear Stearns, while Piper Jaffray upped JP Morgan (JPM 34.79 +0.22) to Outperform from Market Perform and UBS upgraded Hewlett-Packard (HPQ 27.55 +0.30) to Buy from Neutral...

1-week
Top Performer

DJ US Heavy Construction Index (CON)

Last: 244.11
Percent Change: -0.27%

1-month
Top Performer

DJ US Consumer Electronics Index (CSE)

Last: 696.41
Percent Change: -0.99%

6 month
Top Performer

DJ US Water Index (WAT)

Last: 754.02
Percent Change: 0.73%

YTD
Top Performer

DJ US Coal Index (COA)

Last: 265.29
Percent Change: 0.74%

Tuesday, September 06, 2005

09/06/2005 - Recaps - - -

Host America (CAFE) has started to trade again as of last week. You may have read some commentary in my past postings. Well, all is not well at CAFE. The stock is trading at about $3 down from the mid-teens. I am grateful that I did not buy any hoping for the greater fool theory to work out for me.


CAFE


Dominos Pizza has trading down since I sold too. I was surprised that the stock dod not move when it had great earnings out last quarter. I did not to wait to find out what the real story was about while holding on to the shares.

I hope all had a great summer. I know I did and I am sorry to see the summer sky change to autumn. I was lucky to get to Pocasset, Cape Cod a few time and do some fishing. My total catch YTD is three Blues and one Striper. I hope to get out a couple more times while the fish are starting their migration to North Carolina.

Thursday, August 25, 2005

08/25/2005 - Shoot!

Well, --- I got out of Citigroup. I thought we were onto something here. The stock picked it head up last week and showed some strength. This week, not so. Looks like investors are not sure about the new leader at C. We all know how the Market hates uncertainty. True, change is sometimes good but on Wall Street, investors want to get a good idea about the direction a company will take. That is where we are now. I am not in the "hoping" business. I sold with a small loss and will go in again if things look better.

Tuesday, August 16, 2005

08/16/2005 - What I think now.

OK, DPZ is showing weakness. I sold my position. It may be basing but I have a 25% gain and will lock into that now.

MOT id showing weakness. I sold my position for a small gain. 22$ a share was a magic number for that company. The stock had a nice run up the prior weeks. Can't go like that forever.

C, I like this company and bought at $43.73. Stock is showing some good strength the past few days.

Wednesday, August 10, 2005

08/10/2005 - Citigroup and DPZ



C
Citigroup has hit a major support point. It will be interesting to see what happens here. If C goes any lower new support will be established. I would like to see the stock pick its head up and pop a few points. I am keeping an eye on this one.



DPZ

So what do you think will happen to DPZ? The stock had great earnings last qtr yet the Street did not reward it at all. I know, disappointing. I think the Street is waiting to see what mgmt has up its sleeve to keep earnings going. I know Bain Capital probably went in and has expanded the margins the best they could by tweaking the technology and maybe negotiating with suppliers. We have to see how DPZ comes up with new ideas to create more sales. Will they start serving breakfast in bed? Will they make hot dogs and cheese burgers? Beats me?

Thursday, August 04, 2005


08/04/2005

Wednesday, August 03, 2005

08/03/2005 - You gotta love this Market!

The one thing that you can count on is that you can never figure out how the Market will react, at least I can't. What am I talking about? Lets talk about two live examples, DPZ and MOT.

DPZ came out with great earnings for the last qtr and what did the stock do? Went down. On the other hand, analysts are telling us that MOT is fairly valued at $21., yet the stock keeps going up.

You can't do anything about it but you have to be open minded to succeed in the Market.

From the Yahoo Message Board, a chap wrote:

They guided down on the full year. With the new regulations of FD (Full Disclosure), the Street reacts more to guidance then quarterly results. Prior to FD, the quarterly results drove price increases and guidance was the extra push, assuming that it was positive. If it was neutral, the Street knew that it would have access to feret out results during the active quarter. That's all changed now.

Makes sense to me. The company said they will have earnings of 13-15%. The PE is at 25. Could be price a little high. Lets see what happend tmwr!

Tuesday, August 02, 2005

08/02/2005 - DPZ


08/02/2005

You may remember my posting about DPZ in April. The stock has had a nice move up so far. It is up about 25% since I mentioned it. I think this stock is forming a base now. I do not want to make any quick moves but I am keeping and eye on DPZ. Is it basing or losing steam?

Monday, August 01, 2005

08/01/2005 - OTEX - strength?


08/01/2005

OTEX, stock is showing strength. Too early to tell how much strength there is though. Keeping an eye on this one though. Sell poiunt on this would be at about $11.65.

MOT seems to be doing OK after BOA's downgrade. The stock was up $.34 today. BOA really did not say anything. They must have had a deadline to publish a report and they could not come up with anything to say.

Friday, July 29, 2005

07/29/2005 - Did someone just flip the lights?

You know when you are at a bar and the manager flips the lights off and on to signal last call.?. I am wondering if Bank of America is pulling this event with MOT. Now, in the bar people do not all rush out the door. Some people stick around and finish their drinks. Still, others belly-up to the bar and order another drink.

I have never really witnessed and upgrade or downgrade affect a stock - long term. Plus, the big guys are buying MOT - they move the stock and they have their own analysts. So, the BOA downgrade may take a little wind out of its sails but I don't THINK it should destroy the beautiful uptrend that we are seeing.

I hope...

Thursday, July 28, 2005

07/28/2005 - MOT - All aboard!


07/28/2005

I was looking at the chart of MOT last night and it caught my eye. Also, from all that I have been reading MOT is a Wall Street darling. The wagon is already moving but I think it may still have some momentum. I like that fact the MOT is developing new technologies that nobody really knows about. In other words, there is a pie in the sky mentality out there. So that should be worth a couple more layers of froth. All aboard!

Wednesday, July 27, 2005

07/27/2005 - A couple hits...


07/27/2005

Well, it is summer time in Boston and you know what that means. It's hot and humid and hazy. When that type of weather hits the town I like to escape to Cape Cod and take respite from the oppressive heat. I went down last night and tried a few casts behind Bassetts Island. Not much luck though, a couple hits. They looked like stripers. I was using surface lures and really going for Blue Fish. The tides was not with us either. Better luck next time.

Sunday, July 24, 2005

07/24/2005 - I thought so...

So the SEC has halted the trading of CAFE. I am not really surprised. You read my post a week back? It just seems strange that CAFE could buy this company called GlobalNet that has this great technology that can save companies huge amounts of money on their electric bills. Why would GlobalNet sell out? We will see what happens on August 5th. Stay tuned.

Thursday, July 21, 2005

07/21/2005 - AMAT and the others - where is the $$$?


7/21/2005 - AMAT

Every now and then I sit back and think about the days when one could make a killing in the semiconductor equipment sector. You would buy when earnings sucked and held until things just could get any better and your aunt was talking about how she just bought 75 shares of Applied Materials. Ah to be young again.

Well, I know I am not the only investor to feel this way. However, are the semi cap equip cos coming back to life or is this just another head fake? Too early to tell but I don't want to miss the ride. Wake me if I happen to fall asleep!